Bitcoin Forecast

BITCOINFORECAST

Last Update: 09 Apr 2026 22:01 UTC

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Market Pulse

Neutral

Bull 49% • Bear 51% • Conviction: Mixed

Current Bias Context

Bias is mixed and regime transition risk is elevated. Prioritize invalidation discipline and let confirmation signals decide direction.

EW alignment: 0/3 bearish • 3/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 41/59
Wyckoff regime: Dist 48/52
Channel regime: None 44/56
Global conviction: Mixed

Engine Matrix

TA	4H	1D	1W	Overall
EW Bias	Bull 55/45	Bull 55/45	Bull 55/45	Neutral 49/51
Cycle Lows	DCL failure	DCL failure	WCL failure	Failure active
S/R	Resist-led	Resist-led	Balanced	Resist-led
Ichimoku	Bull Above	Neutral Inside	Bear Below	Below 41/59
Wyckoff	Accum 83/17	Accum 76/24	Dist 28/72	Dist 48/52
Channels	None Fail↑	None Fail↑	None Fail↓	None 44/56
Conviction	Mixed	Mixed	Mixed	Mixed

Compact Matrix

TA

4H

1D

1W

OVR

EW Bias

51%

Cycle Lows

Failure

S/R

Resist

Ichimoku

Below 41/59

Wyckoff

Dist 48/52

Channels

None 44/56

Conviction

Mixed

Mixed

Mixed

Mixed

External access mode: only the Chart button is available.

Cycle Lows Outlook

Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.

Days till Daily Cycle Low

23 Mar 2026 - 27 Apr 2026

Days till Weekly Cycle Low

Starts 05 May 2026

Days till Yearly Cycle Low

Starts 29 Sep 2026

Timing
Next DCL: window active (18d left)
Next WCL: 26d to window start (05 May 2026)
Next YCL: 173d to window start (29 Sep 2026)

Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: RT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: RT (upward bias into next WCL; 26d to window)
DCL phase: window active (18d left)
WCL phase: end (26d to window start)

Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Feb 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)

Elliott Wave

4H • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

4H • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $72,858

Invalidation: < $66,907

55% Bull / 45% Bear

1D • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1D • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $75,999

Invalidation: < $61,672

55% Bull / 45% Bear

1W • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1W • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (a) • Likely target: $159,630

Invalidation: < $56,810

55% Bull / 45% Bear

Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.

Wyckoff Snapshot

Accumulation • 83/17

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 55%

Events: ST, AR, LPS, SOS

Trading range: $66,078 - $68,188

Forecast: Markup continuation (56%)

Invalidation: < $65,878

Trigger: close above $68,188 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $66,078

Accumulation • 76/24

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 66%

Events: AR, LPS, SOS, SOS

Trading range: $64,929 - $70,470

Forecast: Markup continuation (67%)

Invalidation: < $64,409

Trigger: close above $70,470 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $64,929

Distribution • 28/72

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 46%

Events: SOS, SOS, SOW, SOW

Trading range: $98,028 - $120,925

Forecast: Markdown continuation (52%)

Invalidation: > $122,655

Trigger: close below $98,028 (SOW continuation)

Risk anchor: UT/range high near $120,925

Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).

Ichimoku Snapshot

4H • Ichimoku

Confidence: 53%

State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bull continuation (62%)

Invalidation: < $69,875

1D • Ichimoku

Neutral • 45/55

Confidence: 22%

State: Inside Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: no

Forecast: Range/transition (41%)

Invalidation: n/a

1W • Ichimoku

Confidence: 41%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bear continuation (53%)

Invalidation: > $94,042

Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.

Channel Snapshot

4H • Channels

Descending Triangle • failed up-break

Confidence: 82% • Bull/Bear: 42/58

Stage: confirmed

Rails: upper $70,700 • lower $67,459 • dist 2.0%

Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -0.87 • range 0.72x

Target: $62,953 • Invalidation: > $70,821

1D • Channels

Head and Shoulders • failed up-break

Confidence: 68% • Bull/Bear: 42/58

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $61,029 → $65,681

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z 0.09 • range 0.84x

Target: $53,685 • Invalidation: > $68,766

1W • Channels

Head and Shoulders • failed down-break

Confidence: 69% • Bull/Bear: 46/54

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $68,872 → $84,084

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -0.81 • range 0.51x

Target: $35,523 • Invalidation: > $110,253

Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.

Support / Resistance Snapshot

4H • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $62,534 (13.4%)

Nearest Resistance: $72,769 (0.8%)

Confluence: $73,766 • 1d+1w+4h

1D • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $62,402 (12.2%)

Nearest Resistance: $72,222 (1.7%)

Confluence: $73,881 • 1d+1w+4h

1W • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $65,081 (3.3%)

Nearest Resistance: $69,199 (2.9%)

Confluence: $73,881 • 1d+1w+4h

Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).