BITCOIN
FORECAST
Last Update: 19 Feb 2026 08:30 UTC
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Market Pulse
Bearish Bias
Bull 24% • Bear 76% • Conviction: Strong
Current Bias Context
Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.
EW alignment: 2/3 bearish • 1/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Global conviction: Strong
Engine Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
Overall
EW Bias
Bull 56/44
Bear 23/77
Bear 17/83
Bear 24/76
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL failure
Failure active
S/R
Resist-led
Resist-led
Resist-led
Resist-led
Conviction
Mixed
Strong
Strong
Strong
Compact Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
OVR
EW Bias
56%
77%
83%
76%
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL failure
Failure
S/R
Resist
Resist
Resist
Resist
Conviction
Mixed
Strong
Strong
Strong
External access mode: only the Chart button is available.
Cycle Lows Outlook
Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.
Days till Daily Cycle Low
32d
Starts 23 Mar 2026
Days till Weekly Cycle Low
75d
Starts 05 May 2026
Days till Yearly Cycle Low
222d
Starts 29 Sep 2026
Timing
Next DCL: 32d to window start (23 Mar 2026)
Next WCL: 75d to window start (05 May 2026)
Next YCL: 222d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Translation
Previous DCH: N
Previous WCH: RT
DCH translation: N (neutral/unclear; late-cycle downside risk rises into DCL window)
WCH translation: RT (upward bias into next WCL; 75d to window)
DCL phase: start (32d to window start)
WCL phase: middle (75d to window start)
Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Feb 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)
Elliott Wave
4H • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
4H • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (56%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $70,938
Invalidation: < $62,535
56% Bull / 44% Bear
1D • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
1D • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (34%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (1) • Likely target: $34,168
Invalidation: > $74,469
23% Bull / 77% Bear
1W • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
1W • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (36%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (D) • Likely target: $32,368
Invalidation: > $72,615
17% Bull / 83% Bear
Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.
Support / Resistance Snapshot
4H • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $62,131 (7.5%)
Nearest Resistance: $67,546 (0.5%)
Confluence: $59,930 • 1d+1w+4h
1D • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $65,081 (2.0%)
Nearest Resistance: $67,186 (1.1%)
Confluence: $59,727 • 1d+1w+4h
1W • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $65,081 (5.4%)
Nearest Resistance: $69,199 (0.6%)
Confluence: $59,751 • 1d+1w+4h
Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).
Next DCL: 32d to window start (23 Mar 2026)
Next WCL: 75d to window start (05 May 2026)
Next YCL: 222d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Previous DCH: N
Previous WCH: RT
DCH translation: N (neutral/unclear; late-cycle downside risk rises into DCL window)
WCH translation: RT (upward bias into next WCL; 75d to window)
DCL phase: start (32d to window start)
WCL phase: middle (75d to window start)
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Feb 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)