Last Update: 22 Mar 2026 02:02 UTC
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Market Pulse
Bearish Bias
Bull 31% • Bear 69% • Conviction: Strong
Current Bias Context
Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 2/3 bearish • 1/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 27/73
Wyckoff regime: Dist 48/52
Channel regime: None 43/57
Global conviction: Strong
Engine Matrix
TA4H1D1WOverall
EW BiasBear 22/78Bear 22/78Bull 55/45Bear 31/69
Cycle LowsDCL failureDCL failureWCL failureFailure active
S/RResist-ledResist-ledResist-ledResist-led
IchimokuBear BelowBear BelowBear BelowBelow 27/73
WyckoffAccum 73/27Accum 76/24Dist 28/72Dist 48/52
ChannelsNone InsideNone Fail↑None Fail↓None 43/57
ConvictionStrongStrongMixedStrong
Compact Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
OVR
EW Bias
78%
78%
55%
69%
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL failure
Failure
S/R
Resist
Resist
Resist
Resist
Ichimoku
Bear Below
Bear Below
Bear Below
Below 27/73
Wyckoff
Accum 73/27
Accum 76/24
Dist 28/72
Dist 48/52
Channels
None Inside
None Fail↑
None Fail↓
None 43/57
Conviction
Strong
Strong
Mixed
Strong
External access mode: only the Chart button is available.
Cycle Lows Outlook
Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.
Days till Daily Cycle Low
1d
Starts 23 Mar 2026
Days till Weekly Cycle Low
44d
Starts 05 May 2026
Days till Yearly Cycle Low
191d
Starts 29 Sep 2026
Timing
Next DCL: 1d to window start (23 Mar 2026)
Next WCL: 44d to window start (05 May 2026)
Next YCL: 191d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: RT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: RT (upward bias into next WCL; 44d to window)
DCL phase: end (1d to window start)
WCL phase: end (44d to window start)
Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Feb 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: break confirmed on 04 Mar 2026
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)
Elliott Wave
4H • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
4H • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (34%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $67,522
Invalidation: > $78,279
22% Bull / 78% Bear
1D • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
1D • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (34%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (D) • Likely target: $67,522
Invalidation: > $78,279
22% Bull / 78% Bear
1W • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
1W • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (D) • Likely target: $159,630
Invalidation: < $56,810
55% Bull / 45% Bear
Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.
Wyckoff Snapshot
4H • Wyckoff
Accumulation • 73/27
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 56%
Events: AR, SOW, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $66,726 - $70,531
Forecast: Markup continuation (51%)
Invalidation: < $66,531
Trigger: close above $70,531 (SOS/LPS confirmation)
Risk anchor: spring/range low near $66,726
1D • Wyckoff
Accumulation • 76/24
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 66%
Events: SOS, AR, LPS, SOS
Trading range: $65,019 - $71,710
Forecast: Markup continuation (67%)
Invalidation: < $64,428
Trigger: close above $71,710 (SOS/LPS confirmation)
Risk anchor: spring/range low near $65,019
1W • Wyckoff
Distribution • 28/72
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 46%
Events: SOS, SOS, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $98,028 - $120,925
Forecast: Markdown continuation (52%)
Invalidation: > $122,759
Trigger: close below $98,028 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $120,925
Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).
Ichimoku Snapshot
4H • Ichimoku
Bear • 29/71
Confidence: 40%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (53%)
Invalidation: > $71,600
1D • Ichimoku
Bear • 27/73
Confidence: 42%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: no
Forecast: Bear continuation (54%)
Invalidation: > $69,555
1W • Ichimoku
Bear • 27/73
Confidence: 42%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (54%)
Invalidation: > $94,104
Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.
Channel Snapshot
4H • Channels
Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 82% • Bull/Bear: 36/64
Stage: developing
Neckline (ext): $64,508 → $68,189
Projected RS: $75,356 @ 22 Mar 2026 (27%)
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.50 • range 0.96x
Target: $59,384 • Invalidation: > $76,146
1D • Channels
Head and Shoulders • failed up-break
Confidence: 75% • Bull/Bear: 42/58
Stage: developing
Neckline (ext): $63,759 → $68,511
Projected RS: $75,518 @ 21 Mar 2026 (47%)
Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -1.84 • range 0.87x
Target: $60,118 • Invalidation: > $66,218
1W • Channels
Head and Shoulders • failed down-break
Confidence: 69% • Bull/Bear: 46/54
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $68,872 → $83,711
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -0.67 • range 0.82x
Target: $35,523 • Invalidation: > $109,441
Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.
Support / Resistance Snapshot
4H • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $62,158 (9.9%)
Nearest Resistance: $69,290 (0.4%)
Confluence: $62,158 • 1d+1w+4h
1D • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $62,670 (9.0%)
Nearest Resistance: $69,274 (0.6%)
Confluence: $61,950 • 1d+1w+4h
1W • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $65,081 (5.5%)
Nearest Resistance: $69,199 (0.5%)
Confluence: $59,751 • 1d+1w+4h
Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).