Bitcoin Forecast

BITCOINFORECAST

Last Update: 29 Mar 2026 02:01 UTC

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Market Pulse

Bearish Bias

Bull 29% • Bear 71% • Conviction: Strong

Current Bias Context

Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 2/3 bearish • 1/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 17/83
Wyckoff regime: Dist 30/70
Channel regime: None 45/55
Global conviction: Strong

Engine Matrix

TA	4H	1D	1W	Overall
EW Bias	Bear 23/77	Bear 22/78	Bull 55/45	Bear 29/71
Cycle Lows	DCL failure	DCL failure	WCL failure	Failure active
S/R	Resist-led	Resist-led	Support-led	Resist-led
Ichimoku	Bear Below	Bear Below	Bear Below	Below 17/83
Wyckoff	Dist 24/76	Accum 76/24	Dist 11/89	Dist 30/70
Channels	None Fail↓	None Inside	None Fail↓	None 45/55
Conviction	Strong	Strong	Mixed	Strong

Compact Matrix

TA

4H

1D

1W

OVR

EW Bias

71%

Cycle Lows

Failure

S/R

Resist

Ichimoku

Below 17/83

Wyckoff

Dist 30/70

Channels

None 45/55

Conviction

Strong

Strong

Mixed

Strong

External access mode: only the Chart button is available.

Cycle Lows Outlook

Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.

Days till Daily Cycle Low

23 Mar 2026 - 27 Apr 2026

Days till Weekly Cycle Low

Starts 05 May 2026

Days till Yearly Cycle Low

Starts 29 Sep 2026

Timing
Next DCL: window active (29d left)
Next WCL: 37d to window start (05 May 2026)
Next YCL: 184d to window start (29 Sep 2026)

Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: RT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: RT (upward bias into next WCL; 37d to window)
DCL phase: window active (29d left)
WCL phase: end (37d to window start)

Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Feb 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)

Elliott Wave

4H • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C

4H • EW Snapshot

[BEAR] Wave C (34%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $63,301

Invalidation: > $74,160

23% Bull / 77% Bear

1D • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C

1D • EW Snapshot

[BEAR] Wave C (34%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (a) • Likely target: $66,101

Invalidation: > $78,279

22% Bull / 78% Bear

1W • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1W • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (a) • Likely target: $159,630

Invalidation: < $56,810

55% Bull / 45% Bear

Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.

Wyckoff Snapshot

Distribution • 24/76

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 50%

Events: SOW, SOW, SOW, SOW

Trading range: $70,346 - $74,431

Forecast: Markdown continuation (65%)

Invalidation: > $74,607

Trigger: close below $70,346 (SOW continuation)

Risk anchor: UT/range high near $74,431

Accumulation • 76/24

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 66%

Events: SOS, AR, LPS, SOS

Trading range: $65,019 - $71,386

Forecast: Markup continuation (67%)

Invalidation: < $64,449

Trigger: close above $71,386 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $65,019

Distribution • 11/89

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 47%

Events: SOS, SOS, SOW, SOW

Trading range: $98,028 - $120,925

Forecast: Markdown continuation (62%)

Invalidation: > $122,721

Trigger: close below $98,028 (SOW continuation)

Risk anchor: UT/range high near $120,925

Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).

Ichimoku Snapshot

4H • Ichimoku

Confidence: 62%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bear continuation (67%)

Invalidation: > $68,856

1D • Ichimoku

Confidence: 62%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: no

Forecast: Bear continuation (66%)

Invalidation: > $71,092

1W • Ichimoku

Confidence: 42%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bear continuation (54%)

Invalidation: > $94,081

Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.

Channel Snapshot

4H • Channels

Inverse Head and Shoulders • failed down-break

Confidence: 64% • Bull/Bear: 51/49

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $73,730 → $77,899

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -1.39 • range 0.40x

Target: $87,035 • Invalidation: < $66,910

1D • Channels

Head and Shoulders • inside

Confidence: 76% • Bull/Bear: 36/64

Stage: developing

Neckline (ext): $60,602 → $65,601

Projected RS: $73,850 @ 28 Mar 2026 (45%)

Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -1.80 • range 0.49x

Target: $54,103 • Invalidation: > $67,821

1W • Channels

Head and Shoulders • failed down-break

Confidence: 69% • Bull/Bear: 46/54

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $68,872 → $83,898

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -0.66 • range 0.72x

Target: $35,523 • Invalidation: > $109,855

Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.

Support / Resistance Snapshot

4H • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $62,158 (6.5%)

Nearest Resistance: $67,044 (0.8%)

Confluence: $59,930 • 1d+1w+4h

1D • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $62,402 (5.9%)

Nearest Resistance: $67,186 (1.3%)

Confluence: $59,702 • 1d+1w+4h

1W • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $65,081 (1.9%)

Nearest Resistance: $69,199 (4.3%)

Confluence: $59,751 • 1d+1w+4h

Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).