Bitcoin Forecast

BITCOINFORECAST

Last Update: 03 May 2026 02:01 UTC

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Market Pulse

Bullish Bias

Bull 62% • Bear 38% • Conviction: Moderate

Current Bias Context

Upside structure is leading across higher timeframes. Pullbacks remain buy-the-dip until bullish invalidations fail.

EW alignment: 0/3 bearish • 3/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 52/48
Wyckoff regime: Dist 55/45
Channel regime: Asc Ch 53/47
Global conviction: Moderate

Engine Matrix

TA	4H	1D	1W	Overall
EW Bias	Bull 61/39	Bull 55/45	Bull 61/39	Bull 62/38
Cycle Lows	DCL failure	DCL failure	WCL failure	Failure active
S/R	Resist-led	Resist-led	Resist-led	Resist-led
Ichimoku	Bull Above	Neutral Above	Bear Below	Below 52/48
Wyckoff	Accum 95/5	Accum 73/27	Dist 28/72	Dist 55/45
Channels	Asc Ch Inside	None Fail↑	Asc Ch Fail↓	Asc Ch 53/47
Conviction	Moderate	Mixed	Moderate	Moderate

Compact Matrix

TA

4H

1D

1W

OVR

EW Bias

62%

Cycle Lows

Failure

S/R

Resist

Ichimoku

Below 52/48

Wyckoff

Dist 55/45

Channels

Asc Ch 53/47

Conviction

Moderate

Mixed

Moderate

Moderate

External access mode: only the Chart button is available.

Cycle Lows Outlook

Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.

Days till Daily Cycle Low

Starts 14 May 2026

Days till Weekly Cycle Low

Starts 05 May 2026

Days till Yearly Cycle Low

Starts 29 Sep 2026

Timing
Next DCL: 11d to window start (14 May 2026)
Next WCL: 2d to window start (05 May 2026)
Next YCL: 149d to window start (29 Sep 2026)

Translation
Previous DCH: LT
Previous WCH: RT
DCH translation: LT (bearish skew; tops formed early in cycle)
WCH translation: RT (upward bias into next WCL; 2d to window)
DCL phase: end (11d to window start)
WCL phase: end (2d to window start)

Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 31 Mar 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)

Elliott Wave

4H • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

4H • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (61%)

Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (i) • Likely target: $79,455

Invalidation: < $71,125

61% Bull / 39% Bear

1D • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1D • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $79,455

Invalidation: < $71,125

55% Bull / 45% Bear

1W • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1W • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (61%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (1) • Likely target: $75,999

Invalidation: < $61,672

61% Bull / 39% Bear

Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.

Wyckoff Snapshot

Accumulation • 95/5

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 88%

Events: SOW, SOS, SOW, SOS

Trading range: $73,685 - $76,350

Forecast: Markup continuation (67%)

Invalidation: < $73,553

Trigger: close above $76,350 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $73,685

Accumulation • 73/27

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 60%

Events: SOS, UT, ST, AR

Trading range: $64,929 - $70,470

Forecast: Markup continuation (65%)

Invalidation: < $64,479

Trigger: close above $70,470 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $64,929

Distribution • 28/72

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 46%

Events: SOS, SOS, SOW, SOW

Trading range: $97,422 - $120,925

Forecast: Markdown continuation (52%)

Invalidation: > $122,532

Trigger: close below $97,422 (SOW continuation)

Risk anchor: UT/range high near $120,925

Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).

Ichimoku Snapshot

4H • Ichimoku

Confidence: 62%

State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: no

Forecast: Bull continuation (64%)

Invalidation: < $76,927

1D • Ichimoku

Neutral • 68/32

Confidence: 32%

State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Range/transition (41%)

Invalidation: n/a

1W • Ichimoku

Confidence: 40%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bear continuation (53%)

Invalidation: > $88,901

Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.

Channel Snapshot

4H • Channels

Ascending Channel • inside

Confidence: 64% • Bull/Bear: 55/45

Stage: confirmed

Rails: upper $80,825 • lower $75,727 • dist 3.2%

Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.90 • range 0.97x

Target: $85,343 • Invalidation: < $76,819

1D • Channels

Head and Shoulders • failed up-break

Confidence: 62% • Bull/Bear: 49/51

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $64,951 → $72,369

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -1.83 • range 0.52x

Target: $58,601 • Invalidation: > $68,411

1W • Channels

Ascending Channel • failed down-break

Confidence: 74% • Bull/Bear: 54/46

Stage: confirmed

Rails: upper $112,237 • lower $91,139 • dist 15.9%

Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -0.84 • range 0.57x

Target: $131,349 • Invalidation: < $91,772

Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.

Support / Resistance Snapshot

4H • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $62,158 (20.5%)

Nearest Resistance: $78,305 (0.1%)

Confluence: $59,930 • 1d+1w+4h

1D • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $62,160 (21.0%)

Nearest Resistance: $79,471 (1.0%)

Confluence: $59,945 • 1d+1w+4h

1W • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $65,027 (17.3%)

Nearest Resistance: $79,455 (1.0%)

Confluence: $59,751 • 1d+1w+4h

Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).