Last Update: 12 Jul 2026 02:01 UTC
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Market Pulse
Bearish Bias
Bull 25% • Bear 75% • Conviction: Strong
Current Bias Context
Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 1/3 bearish • 2/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 35/65
Wyckoff regime: Markdown 17/83
Channel regime: None 45/55
Global conviction: Strong
Engine Matrix
TA4H1D1WOverall
EW BiasNeutral 51/49Bull 55/45Bear 17/83Bear 25/75
Cycle LowsDCL failureDCL failureWCL failureFailure active
S/RResist-ledResist-ledResist-ledResist-led
IchimokuBull AboveBear BelowBear BelowBelow 35/65
WyckoffDist 15/85Dist 5/95Markdown 23/77Markdown 17/83
ChannelsNone Fail↑None InsideNone InsideNone 45/55
ConvictionMixedMixedStrongStrong
Compact Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
OVR
EW Bias
51%
55%
83%
75%
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL failure
Failure
S/R
Resist
Resist
Resist
Resist
Ichimoku
Bull Above
Bear Below
Bear Below
Below 35/65
Wyckoff
Dist 15/85
Dist 5/95
Markdown 23/77
Markdown 17/83
Channels
None Fail↑
None Inside
None Inside
None 45/55
Conviction
Mixed
Mixed
Strong
Strong
External access mode: only the Chart button is available.
Cycle Lows Outlook
Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.
Days till Daily Cycle Low
9d
Starts 21 Jul 2026
Days till Weekly Cycle Low
16d left
05 May 2026 - 28 Jul 2026
Days till Yearly Cycle Low
79d
Starts 29 Sep 2026
Timing
Next DCL: 9d to window start (21 Jul 2026)
Next WCL: window active (16d left)
Next YCL: 79d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: LT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: LT (weaker cycle; downside pressure tends to appear earlier)
DCL phase: end (9d to window start)
WCL phase: window active (16d left)
Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Jun 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)
Elliott Wave
4H • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
4H • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (51%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (i) • Likely target: $64,692
Invalidation: < $58,444
51% Bull / 49% Bear
1D • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
1D • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $67,255
Invalidation: < $54,871
55% Bull / 45% Bear
1W • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
1W • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (36%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (i) • Likely target: $43,507
Invalidation: > $69,273
17% Bull / 83% Bear
Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.
Wyckoff Snapshot
4H • Wyckoff
Distribution • 15/85
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 59%
Events: SOS, SOS, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $62,393 - $64,380
Forecast: Markdown continuation (58%)
Invalidation: > $64,506
Trigger: close below $62,393 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $64,380
1D • Wyckoff
Distribution • 5/95
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 72%
Events: Spring, ST, AR, SOS
Trading range: $74,599 - $81,581
Forecast: Markdown continuation (65%)
Invalidation: > $81,995
Trigger: close below $74,599 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $81,581
1W • Wyckoff
Markdown • 23/77
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 40%
Events: SOS, LPSY, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $86,063 - $114,515
Forecast: Markdown continuation (54%)
Invalidation: > $115,910
Trigger: failed rally below $114,515 or break under $86,063
Risk anchor: reclaim above $114,515
Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).
Ichimoku Snapshot
4H • Ichimoku
Bull • 95/5
Confidence: 62%
State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bull continuation (67%)
Invalidation: < $63,024
1D • Ichimoku
Bear • 34/66
Confidence: 36%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: no
Forecast: Bear continuation (49%)
Invalidation: > $62,606
1W • Ichimoku
Bear • 14/86
Confidence: 53%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (62%)
Invalidation: > $78,683
Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.
Channel Snapshot
4H • Channels
Double Top • failed up-break
Confidence: 42% • Bull/Bear: 49/51
Stage: confirmed
Rails: upper $63,651 • lower $59,951 • dist 0.8%
Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -0.95 • range 0.76x
Target: $58,348 • Invalidation: > $63,731
1D • Channels
Inverse Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 42% • Bull/Bear: 54/46
Stage: developing
Neckline (ext): $72,138 → $64,082
Projected RS: $57,798 @ 11 Jul 2026 (48%)
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -1.74 • range 0.40x
Target: $71,625 • Invalidation: < $58,302
1W • Channels
Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 68% • Bull/Bear: 40/60
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $70,015 → $55,837
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.47 • range 0.49x
Target: $36,629 • Invalidation: > $85,619
Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.
Support / Resistance Snapshot
4H • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $60,716 (5.3%)
Nearest Resistance: $64,154 (0.0%)
Confluence: $64,931 • 1d+1w+4h
1D • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,702 (6.4%)
Nearest Resistance: $64,943 (1.8%)
Confluence: $64,943 • 1d+1w+4h
1W • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,727 (6.4%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,027 (1.9%)
Confluence: $65,027 • 1d+1w+4h
Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).