Last Update: 19 Jul 2026 02:01 UTC
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Market Pulse
Bearish Bias
Bull 47% • Bear 53% • Conviction: Mixed
Current Bias Context
Bias is mixed and regime transition risk is elevated. Prioritize invalidation discipline and let confirmation signals decide direction.

EW alignment: 0/3 bearish • 3/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 30/70
Wyckoff regime: Markdown 21/79
Channel regime: None 45/55
Global conviction: Mixed
Engine Matrix
TA4H1D1WOverall
EW BiasBull 55/45Bull 55/45Bull 55/45Neutral 47/53
Cycle LowsDCL failureDCL failureWCL failureFailure active
S/RResist-ledResist-ledResist-ledResist-led
IchimokuBull AboveBear BelowBear BelowBelow 30/70
WyckoffDist 51/49Dist 5/95Markdown 22/78Markdown 21/79
ChannelsNone Fail↑None InsideNone InsideNone 45/55
ConvictionMixedMixedMixedMixed
Compact Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
OVR
EW Bias
55%
55%
55%
53%
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL failure
Failure
S/R
Resist
Resist
Resist
Resist
Ichimoku
Bull Above
Bear Below
Bear Below
Below 30/70
Wyckoff
Dist 51/49
Dist 5/95
Markdown 22/78
Markdown 21/79
Channels
None Fail↑
None Inside
None Inside
None 45/55
Conviction
Mixed
Mixed
Mixed
Mixed
External access mode: only the Chart button is available.
Cycle Lows Outlook
Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.
Days till Daily Cycle Low
2d
Starts 21 Jul 2026
Days till Weekly Cycle Low
9d left
05 May 2026 - 28 Jul 2026
Days till Yearly Cycle Low
72d
Starts 29 Sep 2026
Timing
Next DCL: 2d to window start (21 Jul 2026)
Next WCL: window active (9d left)
Next YCL: 72d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: LT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: LT (weaker cycle; downside pressure tends to appear earlier)
DCL phase: end (2d to window start)
WCL phase: window active (9d left)
Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Jun 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)
Elliott Wave
4H • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
4H • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $65,590
Invalidation: < $59,380
55% Bull / 45% Bear
1D • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
1D • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $67,255
Invalidation: < $54,871
55% Bull / 45% Bear
1W • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
1W • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (i) • Likely target: $67,255
Invalidation: < $54,871
55% Bull / 45% Bear
Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.
Wyckoff Snapshot
4H • Wyckoff
Distribution • 51/49
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 55%
Events: SOW, SOS, SOS, SOW
Trading range: $62,988 - $64,879
Forecast: Markdown continuation (36%)
Invalidation: > $64,987
Trigger: close below $62,988 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $64,879
1D • Wyckoff
Distribution • 5/95
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 76%
Events: ST, AR, SOS, SOS
Trading range: $74,206 - $81,581
Forecast: Markdown continuation (65%)
Invalidation: > $81,957
Trigger: close below $74,206 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $81,581
1W • Wyckoff
Markdown • 22/78
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 41%
Events: SOS, LPSY, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $86,063 - $114,515
Forecast: Markdown continuation (55%)
Invalidation: > $115,865
Trigger: failed rally below $114,515 or break under $86,063
Risk anchor: reclaim above $114,515
Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).
Ichimoku Snapshot
4H • Ichimoku
Bull • 94/6
Confidence: 53%
State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bull continuation (65%)
Invalidation: < $63,982
1D • Ichimoku
Bear • 31/69
Confidence: 38%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: no
Forecast: Bear continuation (51%)
Invalidation: > $61,900
1W • Ichimoku
Bear • 14/86
Confidence: 53%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (62%)
Invalidation: > $78,655
Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.
Channel Snapshot
4H • Channels
Head and Shoulders • failed up-break
Confidence: 41% • Bull/Bear: 49/51
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $60,864 → $62,779
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -0.98 • range 0.24x
Target: $59,329 • Invalidation: > $64,465
1D • Channels
Inverse Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 50% • Bull/Bear: 55/45
Stage: developing
Neckline (ext): $69,476 → $65,423
Projected RS: $58,247 @ 18 Jul 2026 (68%)
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -1.65 • range 0.52x
Target: $74,032 • Invalidation: < $58,147
1W • Channels
Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 73% • Bull/Bear: 40/60
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $70,015 → $55,188
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.53 • range 0.56x
Target: $36,629 • Invalidation: > $85,528
Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.
Support / Resistance Snapshot
4H • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $60,716 (6.2%)
Nearest Resistance: $64,943 (0.3%)
Confluence: $64,943 • 1d+1w+4h
1D • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,702 (7.9%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,027 (0.3%)
Confluence: $65,027 • 1d+1w+4h
1W • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,727 (7.8%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,027 (0.3%)
Confluence: $65,027 • 1d+1w+4h
Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).