Last Update: 02 Aug 2026 02:04 UTC
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Market Pulse
Bearish Bias
Bull 30% • Bear 70% • Conviction: Strong
Current Bias Context
Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 2/3 bearish • 1/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 18/82
Wyckoff regime: Markdown 21/79
Channel regime: None 40/60
Global conviction: Strong
Engine Matrix
TA4H1D1WOverall
EW BiasBear 22/78Bear 23/77Bull 55/45Bear 30/70
Cycle LowsDCL failureDCL failureWCL failureFailure active
S/RResist-ledResist-ledResist-ledResist-led
IchimokuBear BelowNeutral InsideBear BelowBelow 18/82
WyckoffAccum 55/45Dist 5/95Markdown 21/79Markdown 21/79
ChannelsNone InsideNone Fail↓None InsideNone 40/60
ConvictionStrongStrongMixedStrong
Compact Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
OVR
EW Bias
78%
77%
55%
70%
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL failure
Failure
S/R
Resist
Resist
Resist
Resist
Ichimoku
Bear Below
Neutral Inside
Bear Below
Below 18/82
Wyckoff
Accum 55/45
Dist 5/95
Markdown 21/79
Markdown 21/79
Channels
None Inside
None Fail↓
None Inside
None 40/60
Conviction
Strong
Strong
Mixed
Strong
External access mode: only the Chart button is available.
Cycle Lows Outlook
Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.
Days till Daily Cycle Low
22d left
21 Jul 2026 - 24 Aug 2026
Days till Weekly Cycle Low
Overdue 5d
Ended 28 Jul 2026
Days till Yearly Cycle Low
58d
Starts 29 Sep 2026
Timing
Next DCL: window active (22d left)
Next WCL: overdue 5d (window ended 28 Jul 2026)
Next YCL: 58d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: LT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: LT (weaker cycle; downside pressure tends to appear earlier)
DCL phase: window active (22d left)
WCL phase: overdue (5d past window)
Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 07 Jun 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)
Elliott Wave
4H • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
4H • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (34%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $61,127
Invalidation: > $67,353
22% Bull / 78% Bear
1D • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
1D • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (34%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $57,427
Invalidation: > $68,932
23% Bull / 77% Bear
1W • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
1W • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $67,255
Invalidation: < $54,871
55% Bull / 45% Bear
Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.
Wyckoff Snapshot
4H • Wyckoff
Accumulation • 55/45
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 34%
Events: Spring, AR, SOW, ST
Trading range: $62,498 - $64,365
Forecast: Markup continuation (45%)
Invalidation: < $62,392
Trigger: close above $64,365 (SOS/LPS confirmation)
Risk anchor: spring/range low near $62,498
1D • Wyckoff
Distribution • 5/95
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 72%
Events: ST, AR, SOS, SOS
Trading range: $64,336 - $81,581
Forecast: Markdown continuation (65%)
Invalidation: > $81,921
Trigger: close below $64,336 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $81,581
1W • Wyckoff
Markdown • 21/79
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 43%
Events: SOS, LPSY, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $84,641 - $114,515
Forecast: Markdown continuation (56%)
Invalidation: > $115,772
Trigger: failed rally below $114,515 or break under $84,641
Risk anchor: reclaim above $114,515
Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).
Ichimoku Snapshot
4H • Ichimoku
Bear • 5/95
Confidence: 62%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (67%)
Invalidation: > $63,873
1D • Ichimoku
Neutral • 42/58
Confidence: 24%
State: Inside Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Range/transition (41%)
Invalidation: n/a
1W • Ichimoku
Bear • 7/93
Confidence: 62%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (66%)
Invalidation: > $74,930
Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.
Channel Snapshot
4H • Channels
Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 83% • Bull/Bear: 36/64
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $62,451 → $62,724
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -1.18 • range 0.54x
Target: $58,340 • Invalidation: > $67,135
1D • Channels
Head and Shoulders • failed down-break
Confidence: 80% • Bull/Bear: 42/58
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $64,580 → $83,619
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -1.47 • range 0.53x
Target: $58,601 • Invalidation: > $70,085
1W • Channels
Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 73% • Bull/Bear: 40/60
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $70,015 → $53,890
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.86 • range 0.56x
Target: $36,629 • Invalidation: > $85,343
Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.
Support / Resistance Snapshot
4H • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $60,716 (3.6%)
Nearest Resistance: $63,223 (0.4%)
Confluence: $64,975 • 1d+1w+4h
1D • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,694 (4.9%)
Nearest Resistance: $62,849 (0.1%)
Confluence: $58,387 • 1d+1w+4h
1W • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,727 (4.9%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,027 (3.6%)
Confluence: $65,027 • 1d+1w+4h
Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).