Last Update: 09 Aug 2026 02:01 UTC
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Market Pulse
Bearish Bias
Bull 35% • Bear 65% • Conviction: Strong
Current Bias Context
Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 1/3 bearish • 2/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Failure active • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 27/73
Wyckoff regime: Markdown 13/87
Channel regime: None 41/59
Global conviction: Strong
Engine Matrix
TA4H1D1WOverall
EW BiasBull 55/45Bear 23/77Bull 55/45Bear 35/65
Cycle LowsDCL failureDCL failureWCL earlyFailure active
S/RResist-ledResist-ledResist-ledResist-led
IchimokuBull AboveNeutral InsideBear BelowBelow 27/73
WyckoffAccum 48/52Dist 5/95Markdown 10/90Markdown 13/87
ChannelsNone Fail↓None Fail↓None InsideNone 41/59
ConvictionMixedStrongMixedStrong
Compact Matrix
TA
4H
1D
1W
OVR
EW Bias
55%
77%
55%
65%
Cycle Lows
DCL failure
DCL failure
WCL early
Failure
S/R
Resist
Resist
Resist
Resist
Ichimoku
Bull Above
Neutral Inside
Bear Below
Below 27/73
Wyckoff
Accum 48/52
Dist 5/95
Markdown 10/90
Markdown 13/87
Channels
None Fail↓
None Fail↓
None Inside
None 41/59
Conviction
Mixed
Strong
Mixed
Strong
External access mode: only the Chart button is available.
Cycle Lows Outlook
Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.
Days till Daily Cycle Low
15d left
21 Jul 2026 - 24 Aug 2026
Days till Weekly Cycle Low
126d
Starts 13 Dec 2026
Days till Yearly Cycle Low
51d
Starts 29 Sep 2026
Timing
Next DCL: window active (15d left)
Next WCL: 126d to window start (13 Dec 2026)
Next YCL: 51d to window start (29 Sep 2026)
Translation
Previous DCH: RT
Previous WCH: LT
DCH translation: RT (bullish skew; tops formed late in cycle)
WCH translation: LT (weaker cycle; downside pressure tends to appear earlier)
DCL phase: window active (15d left)
WCL phase: start (126d to window start)
Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 02 Aug 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: active (break below last confirmed cycle low)
Elliott Wave
4H • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
4H • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $65,391
Invalidation: < $59,117
55% Bull / 45% Bear
1D • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C
1D • EW Snapshot
[BEAR] Wave C (34%)
Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $57,427
Invalidation: > $68,932
23% Bull / 77% Bear
1W • Cycle Preview
Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal
1W • EW Snapshot
[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)
Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $67,255
Invalidation: < $54,871
55% Bull / 45% Bear
Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.
Wyckoff Snapshot
4H • Wyckoff
Accumulation • 48/52
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 28%
Events: Spring, AR, SOW, ST
Trading range: $62,799 - $64,422
Forecast: Markup continuation (37%)
Invalidation: < $62,722
Trigger: close above $64,422 (SOS/LPS confirmation)
Risk anchor: spring/range low near $62,799
1D • Wyckoff
Distribution • 5/95
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 78%
Events: ST, AR, SOS, SOS
Trading range: $63,868 - $78,168
Forecast: Markdown continuation (66%)
Invalidation: > $78,456
Trigger: close below $63,868 (SOW continuation)
Risk anchor: UT/range high near $78,168
1W • Wyckoff
Markdown • 10/90
ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD
Confidence: 50%
Events: SOS, LPSY, SOW, SOW
Trading range: $84,004 - $114,515
Forecast: Markdown continuation (62%)
Invalidation: > $115,726
Trigger: failed rally below $114,515 or break under $84,004
Risk anchor: reclaim above $114,515
Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).
Ichimoku Snapshot
4H • Ichimoku
Bull • 71/29
Confidence: 40%
State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bull continuation (53%)
Invalidation: < $64,556
1D • Ichimoku
Neutral • 44/56
Confidence: 22%
State: Inside Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: no
Forecast: Range/transition (41%)
Invalidation: n/a
1W • Ichimoku
Bear • 7/93
Confidence: 62%
State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes
Forecast: Bear continuation (66%)
Invalidation: > $71,020
Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.
Channel Snapshot
4H • Channels
Head and Shoulders • failed down-break
Confidence: 74% • Bull/Bear: 42/58
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $61,869 → $66,237
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -1.17 • range 0.40x
Target: $60,463 • Invalidation: > $66,128
1D • Channels
Head and Shoulders • failed down-break
Confidence: 76% • Bull/Bear: 42/58
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $64,580 → $84,484
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: down unconfirmed • vol-z -1.98 • range 0.26x
Target: $58,601 • Invalidation: > $69,605
1W • Channels
Head and Shoulders • inside
Confidence: 73% • Bull/Bear: 40/60
Stage: confirmed
Neckline (ext): $70,015 → $53,242
Projected RS: confirmed as actual
Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -1.11 • range 0.51x
Target: $36,629 • Invalidation: > $85,251
Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.
Support / Resistance Snapshot
4H • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $60,799 (6.3%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,362 (0.8%)
Confluence: $58,328 • 1d+1w+4h
1D • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,694 (8.1%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,535 (0.9%)
Confluence: $58,387 • 1d+1w+4h
1W • S/R Snapshot
Resist-led
Nearest Support: $59,727 (8.0%)
Nearest Resistance: $65,027 (0.2%)
Confluence: $58,472 • 1d+1w+4h
Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).