Bitcoin Forecast

BITCOINFORECAST

Last Update: 30 Aug 2026 02:01 UTC

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Market Pulse

Bearish Bias

Bull 38% • Bear 62% • Conviction: Moderate

Current Bias Context

Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 2/3 bearish • 1/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Cycle early • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 47/53
Wyckoff regime: Markdown 29/71
Channel regime: None 42/58
Global conviction: Moderate

Engine Matrix

TA	4H	1D	1W	Overall
EW Bias	Bear 22/78	Bear 23/77	Bull 55/45	Bear 38/62
Cycle Lows	DCL early	DCL early	WCL early	Cycle early
S/R	Resist-led	Resist-led	Resist-led	Resist-led
Ichimoku	Neutral Inside	Bull Above	Bear Below	Below 47/53
Wyckoff	Accum 76/24	Dist 30/70	Markdown 15/85	Markdown 29/71
Channels	None Inside	None Fail↑	None Inside	None 42/58
Conviction	Strong	Strong	Mixed	Moderate

Compact Matrix

TA

4H

1D

1W

OVR

EW Bias

62%

Cycle Lows

Cycle early

S/R

Resist

Ichimoku

Below 47/53

Wyckoff

Markdown 29/71

Channels

None 42/58

Conviction

Strong

Strong

Mixed

Moderate

External access mode: only the Chart button is available.

Cycle Lows Outlook

Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.

Days till Daily Cycle Low

Starts 16 Sep 2026

Days till Weekly Cycle Low

Starts 13 Dec 2026

Days till Yearly Cycle Low

Starts 29 Sep 2026

Timing
Next DCL: 17d to window start (16 Sep 2026)
Next WCL: 105d to window start (13 Dec 2026)
Next YCL: 30d to window start (29 Sep 2026)

Translation
Previous DCH: LT
Previous WCH: LT
DCH translation: LT (bearish skew; tops formed early in cycle)
WCH translation: LT (weaker cycle; downside pressure tends to appear earlier)
DCL phase: middle (17d to window start)
WCL phase: middle (105d to window start)

Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 04 Aug 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: none active

Elliott Wave

4H • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C

4H • EW Snapshot

[BEAR] Wave C (34%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $76,805

Invalidation: > $83,945

22% Bull / 78% Bear

1D • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C

1D • EW Snapshot

[BEAR] Wave C (34%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (d) • Likely target: $76,805

Invalidation: > $83,945

23% Bull / 77% Bear

1W • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1W • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $67,255

Invalidation: < $54,871

55% Bull / 45% Bear

Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.

Wyckoff Snapshot

Accumulation • 76/24

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 59%

Events: LPS, ST, SOS, SOW

Trading range: $62,925 - $64,517

Forecast: Markup continuation (66%)

Invalidation: < $62,762

Trigger: close above $64,517 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $62,925

Distribution • 30/70

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 57%

Events: SOS, BC, UT, ST

Trading range: $63,656 - $78,284

Forecast: Markdown continuation (49%)

Invalidation: > $78,758

Trigger: close below $63,656 (SOW continuation)

Risk anchor: UT/range high near $78,284

Markdown • 15/85

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 43%

Events: LPSY, SOW, SOW, SOS

Trading range: $77,751 - $114,515

Forecast: Markdown continuation (59%)

Invalidation: > $115,830

Trigger: failed rally below $114,515 or break under $77,751

Risk anchor: reclaim above $114,515

Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).

Ichimoku Snapshot

4H • Ichimoku

Neutral • 50/50

Confidence: 14%

State: Inside Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Range/transition (42%)

Invalidation: n/a

1D • Ichimoku

Confidence: 62%

State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bull continuation (67%)

Invalidation: < $71,708

1W • Ichimoku

Confidence: 62%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: no

Forecast: Bear continuation (61%)

Invalidation: > $71,083

Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.

Channel Snapshot

4H • Channels

None • inside

Confidence: 14% • Bull/Bear: 50/50

Stage: confirmed

Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z 0.00 • range 0.00x

Target: n/a • Invalidation: n/a

1D • Channels

Descending Triangle • failed up-break

Confidence: 80% • Bull/Bear: 42/58

Stage: confirmed

Rails: upper $71,878 • lower $66,179 • dist 8.1%

Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -1.10 • range 0.41x

Target: $59,426 • Invalidation: > $72,147

1W • Channels

Head and Shoulders • inside

Confidence: 73% • Bull/Bear: 40/60

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $70,015 → $51,296

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.15 • range 0.90x

Target: $36,629 • Invalidation: > $85,459

Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.

Support / Resistance Snapshot

4H • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $60,575 (22.5%)

Nearest Resistance: $78,248 (0.2%)

Confluence: $58,285 • 1d+1w+4h

1D • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $59,945 (23.3%)

Nearest Resistance: $78,248 (0.1%)

Confluence: $58,361 • 1d+1w+4h

1W • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $59,665 (23.7%)

Nearest Resistance: $80,600 (3.1%)

Confluence: $58,472 • 1d+1w+4h

Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).