Bitcoin Forecast

BITCOINFORECAST

Last Update: 13 Sep 2026 02:01 UTC

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Market Pulse

Bearish Bias

Bull 33% • Bear 67% • Conviction: Strong

Current Bias Context

Downside pressure is dominant across higher timeframes. Treat counter-trend rallies as reactive unless invalidation levels are reclaimed.

EW alignment: 2/3 bearish • 1/3 bullish • 0/3 neutral
Cycle-lows state: Cycle early • S/R regime: Resist-led
Ichimoku regime: Below 48/52
Wyckoff regime: Markdown 37/63
Channel regime: None 44/56
Global conviction: Strong

Engine Matrix

TA	4H	1D	1W	Overall
EW Bias	Bear 22/78	Bear 23/77	Bull 55/45	Bear 33/67
Cycle Lows	DCL early	DCL early	WCL early	Cycle early
S/R	Resist-led	Resist-led	Resist-led	Resist-led
Ichimoku	Bear Below	Bull Above	Bear Below	Below 48/52
Wyckoff	Dist 31/69	Accum 76/24	Markdown 16/84	Markdown 37/63
Channels	None Inside	None Fail↑	None Inside	None 44/56
Conviction	Strong	Strong	Mixed	Strong

Compact Matrix

TA

4H

1D

1W

OVR

EW Bias

67%

Cycle Lows

Cycle early

S/R

Resist

Ichimoku

Below 48/52

Wyckoff

Markdown 37/63

Channels

None 44/56

Conviction

Strong

Strong

Mixed

Strong

External access mode: only the Chart button is available.

Cycle Lows Outlook

Timing and confirmation context for next Daily, Weekly, and Yearly cycle lows.

Days till Daily Cycle Low

Starts 16 Sep 2026

Days till Weekly Cycle Low

Starts 13 Dec 2026

Days till Yearly Cycle Low

Starts 29 Sep 2026

Timing
Next DCL: 3d to window start (16 Sep 2026)
Next WCL: 91d to window start (13 Dec 2026)
Next YCL: 16d to window start (29 Sep 2026)

Translation
Previous DCH: LT
Previous WCH: LT
DCH translation: LT (bearish skew; tops formed early in cycle)
WCH translation: LT (weaker cycle; downside pressure tends to appear earlier)
DCL phase: end (3d to window start)
WCL phase: middle (91d to window start)

Confirmation Signals
DSS Bressert: last cross marker 04 Aug 2026
10WSMA: close-above confirmation on latest WCL
Trendline: active, no confirmed break yet
CL Failure: none active

Elliott Wave

4H • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C

4H • EW Snapshot

[BEAR] Wave C (34%)

Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (i) • Likely target: $79,050

Invalidation: > $84,751

22% Bull / 78% Bear

1D • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BEAR] Wave C

1D • EW Snapshot

[BEAR] Wave C (34%)

Pattern: Corrective • Next wave: (1) • Likely target: $77,588

Invalidation: > $84,751

23% Bull / 77% Bear

1W • Cycle Preview

Highest-probability path: [BULL] Bull Reversal

1W • EW Snapshot

[BULL] Bull Reversal (55%)

Pattern: Impulsive • Next wave: (A) • Likely target: $67,255

Invalidation: < $54,871

55% Bull / 45% Bear

Zoomed cycle previews are based on each timeframe's highest-probability EW scenario.

Wyckoff Snapshot

Distribution • 31/69

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 48%

Events: BC, UT, AR, SOW

Trading range: $78,416 - $80,877

Forecast: Markdown continuation (60%)

Invalidation: > $81,010

Trigger: close below $78,416 (SOW continuation)

Risk anchor: UT/range high near $80,877

Accumulation • 76/24

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 62%

Events: SOS, UT, ST, AR

Trading range: $59,587 - $64,558

Forecast: Markup continuation (66%)

Invalidation: < $59,140

Trigger: close above $64,558 (SOS/LPS confirmation)

Risk anchor: spring/range low near $59,587

Markdown • 16/84

ACCUMMARKUDISTRMARKD

Confidence: 42%

Events: LPSY, SOW, SOW, SOS

Trading range: $76,053 - $114,515

Forecast: Markdown continuation (58%)

Invalidation: > $115,795

Trigger: failed rally below $114,515 or break under $76,053

Risk anchor: reclaim above $114,515

Deterministic phase/event context (advisory structure layer, not standalone trade signals).

Ichimoku Snapshot

4H • Ichimoku

Confidence: 53%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BEAR • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bear continuation (65%)

Invalidation: > $78,009

1D • Ichimoku

Confidence: 62%

State: Above Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: yes

Forecast: Bull continuation (66%)

Invalidation: < $72,863

1W • Ichimoku

Confidence: 36%

State: Below Cloud • TK: BULL • Chikou: no

Forecast: Bear continuation (50%)

Invalidation: > $71,062

Cloud-first deterministic Ichimoku regime context with projected trigger/target and invalidation.

Channel Snapshot

4H • Channels

Head and Shoulders • inside

Confidence: 52% • Bull/Bear: 45/55

Stage: developing

Neckline (ext): $76,229 → $75,975

Projected RS: $79,309 @ 13 Sep 2026 (67%)

Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.94 • range 0.25x

Target: $69,820 • Invalidation: > $82,548

1D • Channels

Ascending Triangle • failed up-break

Confidence: 63% • Bull/Bear: 51/49

Stage: confirmed

Rails: upper $74,937 • lower $66,814 • dist 3.0%

Breakout: up unconfirmed • vol-z -1.24 • range 0.20x

Target: $84,959 • Invalidation: < $66,571

1W • Channels

Head and Shoulders • inside

Confidence: 73% • Bull/Bear: 40/60

Stage: confirmed

Neckline (ext): $70,015 → $49,998

Projected RS: confirmed as actual

Breakout: none unconfirmed • vol-z -0.89 • range 0.71x

Target: $36,629 • Invalidation: > $85,389

Deterministic channels/wedges with confirmation-based breakout state and risk anchors.

Support / Resistance Snapshot

4H • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $60,799 (21.3%)

Nearest Resistance: $78,120 (1.2%)

Confluence: $58,328 • 1d+1w+4h

1D • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $59,694 (22.7%)

Nearest Resistance: $78,200 (1.2%)

Confluence: $58,387 • 1d+1w+4h

1W • S/R Snapshot

Nearest Support: $59,665 (22.8%)

Nearest Resistance: $80,600 (4.3%)

Confluence: $58,472 • 1d+1w+4h

Nearest S/R and strongest confluence by timeframe (distance measured from current price).