Cycle Lows (CL)

What It Measures

Cycle Lows identifies structurally significant lows/highs (YCL/WCL/DCL, plus CH translation states) and timing windows.

Inputs

• Confirmed pivot lows/highs on 1W and 1D source data.
• Cycle timing windows and adaptive timing model.
• Confirmation signals: DSS cross, SMA reclaim, trendline break.

• cl_config.confirm_enabled: true
• cl_config.confirm_score_threshold: 2
• cl_config.confirm_use_dss: true
• cl_config.confirm_use_sma10: true
• cl_config.confirm_use_trendline_break: true
• cl_config.cycle_failure_use_close_break: true
• cl_config.cycle_failure_use_low_break: false

Calculation Pipeline

1. Detect candidate cycle lows by timeframe specification (YCL -> WCL -> DCL).
2. Apply confirmation scoring over lookahead bars.
3. Set translation labels (LT/RT/N) from CH behavior.
4. Build future timing windows (earliest/core/latest).
5. Track failure levels and active trendline break state.

Formulas & Rules

score = count(scored confirmation signals hit)
confirmed = (score >= threshold) AND required_signals_met

signal candidates:
- dss_cross_up
- close_above_sma10
- trendline_break
- lowest_in_zone_after_window (optional scoring)

cycle failure = break below last confirmed cycle low
break type determined by config: close and/or low

Live Worked Example

Failure / Fallback Behavior

• When confirmation is required but not met, status can stay pending and display can be suppressed.
• If confirmation fails but cycle-failure fallback rule is enabled, zone-lock fallback may confirm.
• If no valid anchors exist, output includes empty points/future windows and neutral status.

Interpretation Notes

Cycle timing is contextual. Treat windows as risk zones, not exact turning points.